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A Promising Rally Meets Resistance
Like the rest of the market, XRP enjoyed a period of consistent price growth. However, the momentum ended around the $0.55 zone, forming a short-term top. This resistance proved too strong, leading to a new price drop. Currently, XRP is trading below $0.53 and is also beneath the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), signaling a bearish trajectory in the short term.
The technical setup for XRP does not signal confidence. A bearish trend line is shaping around the $0.532 level. XRP must remain above the 100-hour SMA to avoid a sharp decline. Failing to hold this line could trigger a significant drop.
After reaching a peak at $0.557, XRP’s price pulled back, breaking below key support levels. It fell under the $0.5420 mark and dipped below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the $0.5065 low to the $0.5571 high. Despite this dip, bullish investors are trying to maintain the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from $0.506 to $0.557. XRP is now hovering around $0.5271, slightly above the 100-hour SMA.
Potential Upside
The closest resistance level is around $0.5310, with a bearish trend line at $0.5320. Beyond $0.5350, the next resistance is at $0.5450. If the bulls break through this level, the price could rise toward the $0.5570 resistance and potentially even to $0.5650.
 
However, the bearish trend could continue if XRP can’t pass through the $0.5350 resistance. The initial downside support is near $0.5250 and the 100-hour SMA. The next significant support is at $0.5185. A break below $0.5185 and a close at this level could increase bearish momentum, potentially testing the $0.5065 support level.
Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators
The technical indicators paint a bearish picture. The hourly MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) for XRP/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone, showing increasing downward momentum. Additionally, the hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) for XRP/USD is below 50, further confirming bearish conditions.
XRP is currently at a critical juncture. To avoid further losses, the price needs to stay above key support levels, particularly the 100-hour SMA. If it fails to hold these levels, more significant declines could be on the horizon, potentially bringing the price down to the $0.5065 support level. For now, XRP is playing with fire around the $0.50 mark, and traders should be careful, as the market can change in an instant.